Notes from the 15th Annual Rhode Island Tree Council Conference, October 12, 2007
As usual, Rhode Island Tree Council organized an informative and enjoyable conference in a great location ~ by the Bay this year, at the Aldrich Mansion in Warwick. The conference is a great networking opportunity, and it provides a comprehensive view of issues affecting Rhode Island's forests, urban forests, and tree species. Attendees include members of local planning boards, state forestry employees, professionals in landscaping and arboriculture, tree wardens, and some of the more than 550 people who have taken the semiannual Tree Stewards class. Following are a few notes from the presentations:
Tree Trends
How about putting climate change in a 2100-year perspective? That is the viewpoint of paleoecologist, Thompson Webb III, who gave the keynote address for this conference with the theme, “Impact of Climate Change on Our Tree Resources.” His presentation was actually called “Climate Change and Vegetative Dynamics,” based on many years of research at Brown University. His studies of the distribution of pollen grains from cores of lake sediment using radiocarbon dating give perspective on vegetative changes in North America as the glacier, which at one time was 10,000 feet high, receded.
Click on the Pollen Viewer and you can see how vegetation changed, as well as how fat North America was (as the glacier receded, there was a 300-foot drop in sea level), at the website, Vegetation Animations at Brown University. It's like the land is going on a diet. Experiment with this ~ you can see that where spruce, beech, grasses, and several other trees and types of vegetation grew has varied significantly over thousand-year periods. Key reasons for the changes are temperature, of course, but also moisture. During the last ice age maximum, it was only 10 to 12 degrees colder than at present.
Another website that helps us compare temperature change is NOAA's National Climate Data Center. The U.S. Climate at a Glance website enables you to see temperature changes since 1900. For instance, the mean temperature for Rhode Island was 30.1 in January 1900, but in January 2007 it was 32.8. Remember that these two bits of data are random selections and cannot necessarily indicate a trend, but accurate temperature records have been kept throughout the United States for many years, and here is one place to see the data. Ponder away.
The U.S. Forestry Service Northern Research Station has data on future tree trends in the U.S., which you can view in their Tree Atlas. Rhode Island's predicted winners and losers over the next several decades include Northern red oak, white oak, white pine (it will be drier here), and sweetgum (winners) and sugar maple, red maple, and spruce (losers).
Trees and, in fact, all vegetation, are not only affected by climate change, but also by pests and air pollution, so it is important to develop complex models that take all factors into account. Modern transportation is rapidly spreading many insects, animals, plants, and microorganisms, which throw off the natural balance of species wherever they land. And air pollution clearly alters the landscape as it weakens trees, decimating some species in our Eastern forests.
I have more notes on the other two conference speakers, and some news as well. Stay tuned for more posts on Rhode Island Tree Council's recent conference.